Probabilities are Conditional and That’s a Bummer
There is so much frustration with governors for locking down, and with the federal government for not having enough test kits. It feels as if we’re not taking enough action, moving fast enough on approving and manufacturing antibody test kits and actually testing people
What’s in it for Me?
Just over 6,000 Positive Tests for Covid-19 in the coming weeks may be enough to cripple our hospital system in San Diego County
The Asian Curve has at Least 3 Differences
There are many similarities between our country responses. More importantly, there are at least 3 major differences between the curves of Asian countries and the rest of the world.
Differences on Display
Sometimes visuals can make a difference. We have the most sophisticated technology in our hospitals, but the the technology is irrelevant if our healthcare workers don’t have the personal protective equipment to stay safe
The Speech We’ve Been Missing
“We're not willing to sacrifice that 1 or 2%. That is not who we are. It isn't what we are. It's not what we believe. We are going to fight every way we can... because that's what it means to be an American”
Infection, Testing, and the Cure
I find that I can’t keep up with the constantly changing information about this corona virus. Each article I read tackles one variable and leaves another out. Some theories are accepted as fact, taken for granted early on but constantly evolving.
2 Big Decisions, Risk & Communication
here are two questions I’m currently pondering as we wade our way through this unprecedented moment in time. The two questions are 1- what drove our decision to act and 2- what was the evaluation and understanding of the ensuing tradeoffs.
Three Models that Inform Why We’re Taking Drastic Action Today
The “study” by the Imperial College in London took data that came out of China & Korea and began rigorous data modeling with those inputs. Yes, there were enough cases and data to do that and we’ve had past models to lean upon as well.
The Economic Pandemic is Phase 2 of COVID-19, Prepare for it
I don’t recall a time like this in my lifetime. This exogenous shock is hitting everyone at once, around the globe. It's not just one region, or trickling in over months, or affecting just one industrial segment. Just about everyone has had to change something about their behavior, or adjust to their customers, supply chain, or workforce. China, and subsequently Italy, and countries one at a time are taking drastic actions to flatten the curve and minimize the stress they put on their health systems.
Losing it is not an option
Times like these are when we as leaders must step up and act. Things are happening that were unforeseen. Outside factors have changed the very nature of the game. The inputs are changing every day and the outcomes are uncertain. Our employees and customers are unsure and the information we're receiving is unclear. Panic. Fear. Uncertainty. What's our role?